Commit Graph
28 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
coolguy ef4b9d82b0 Focus project on JAX PPO 2026-07-14 20:09:03 +09:00
coolguy 79273f7eb3 Add on-device web client 2026-07-14 19:49:03 +09:00
coolguy 19560029b5 Add final cycle report and human play CLI 2026-07-06 00:14:24 +09:00
coolguy 16cc31676c Add diminishing returns diagnostic report 2026-07-05 18:32:47 +09:00
coolguy 7fe0bfdcfe Add JAX PPO ladder verification pass 2026-07-05 00:17:49 +09:00
coolguy 169d4dcb14 Cycle 1: c_puct 3->5, dirichlet_eps 0.25->0.4 produced first natural-end wins
50-iter sweep on default.yaml with stronger MCTS exploration:
- c_puct: 3.0 -> 5.0 (UCB weight, more exploration of low-prior actions)
- root_dirichlet_epsilon: 0.25 -> 0.4 (more noise injected at root prior)

Standalone eval at iter 50 (30 games/opponent, all natural-end, timeouts=0):
- vs heuristic-balanced:    W=0/30 S=-70.5  (PA 0.15)
- vs heuristic-aggressive:  W=2/30 S=-65.1  (PA 0.14)  [+10, +4]
- vs heuristic-cautious:    W=1/30 S=-48.0  (PA 0.14)  [+2]

3 natural-end wins vs prev trapfix baseline iter 44 (which had 0 natural
wins + 1 timeout-tie). Stall trap fixed remains true (timeouts=0 in c1).

Trade-off observed: more exploration -> higher variance. Score avg vs
cautious worsened (-32 -> -48), but win events appeared. For the
non-terminal-win objective, exploration win > score-avg loss.

Next: commit to long run (300 iter) with these params before tuning more.
2026-05-11 05:53:54 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 004b913a7b Rename bot family, curate analyze plots, tier evaluation cadence
Three coordinated hygiene changes; none target the diagnosed
selection-bias bottleneck. They make the codebase honestly reflect the
pure-self-play stance and reduce dashboard noise.

Bot rename (drop the unhelpful safe_ prefix; suffixes describe behaviour):
- safe_heuristic_loose -> heuristic_aggressive
- safe_heuristic       -> heuristic_balanced
- safe_heuristic_strict -> heuristic_cautious
- noisy_safe           -> heuristic_noisy
- passive_discard      -> discard_only

Class renames in bots/: SafeHeuristicBot -> HeuristicBot,
SafeHeuristicParams -> HeuristicParams, PassiveDiscardBot -> DiscardOnlyBot,
plus loose/strict parameter constants. Backwards compatibility was dropped
intentionally per user instruction; no aliases. Active configs, docs,
scripts, tests updated. Archive directories (configs/archive,
docs/archive, runs/archive) left intact and may still reference old
names per their read-only policy. The src/.../bots/passive.py module was
renamed to discard_only.py via git mv.

Analyze plot curation (deep_cfr/analyze.py):
- Added analysis_00_core.png as the canonical daily dashboard with 10
  heuristic-free metrics (loss/{advantage,strategy}; vs heuristic_cautious:
  avg_score_diff0, win_rate0, avg_opened_colors, positive_expedition_rate,
  bonus_expedition_rate, score_per_opened_color, policy_entropy; vs random:
  win_rate0).
- Removed analysis_05_open_quality.png (bad/weak/good open rates,
  recoverable score) and analysis_07_calibration.png (calibration gap,
  recoverable mean) - both relied on the heuristic recoverable_score
  classifier already dropped from inputs.
- Removed SELECTIVITY_PLOTS and plot_selectivity (heuristic-laden).
- SUMMARY_EVAL_METRICS no longer includes bad_open_rate or
  calibration_gap.
- PlotSpec gained an opponents allowlist so the new core section can pin
  a specific opponent per panel without restructuring plot_section.

Tiered evaluation cadence (EvaluationConfig):
- Added extended_opponents and extended_eval_every (default 0 = disabled).
- opponents_for_iteration(iteration) returns the core list every
  eval_every and appends extended_opponents (de-duplicated) when
  iteration is also a multiple of extended_eval_every.
- default.yaml now uses 3 core opponents (random, discard_only,
  heuristic_cautious) every 5 iterations and 3 extended opponents
  (heuristic_balanced, heuristic_aggressive, heuristic_noisy) every 50
  iterations. random is the floor sanity. discard_only is the
  zero-pit detector / absolute-score reference (its score is always 0,
  so eval/discard_only/avg_score_diff0 directly equals the model's raw
  average score). heuristic_cautious is the ceiling and the
  archive-comparable benchmark used in the prior diagnostic sections.

Net eval cost reduction: roughly 50% (3 opponents x every 5 iter, plus
6 opponents x every 50 iter, vs the prior 6 x every 5).

Documented in docs/plans/deep-cfr-selectivity.md section 9.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-10 15:32:55 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 0457efdf29 Honour all_negative_fallback in interleaved scheduler; sync default.yaml
The interleaved traversal scheduler's _regret_matching was hard-coded to
spread fallback policy uniformly across legal actions, regardless of the
configured regret_matching.all_negative_fallback. default.yaml has
shipped with all_negative_fallback: argmax_tiebreak since 618d5f8 based
on the 20-iter audit + 1000-iter empirical comparison in
docs/archive/deep-cfr-regret-fallback-audit-2026-05-07.md, but the
default scheduler was switched to interleaved in 09bbe7c, after which
the configured fallback mode silently no-op'd.

_regret_matching now takes fallback_mode and concentrates policy mass on
the lowest-index tied action when "argmax_tiebreak". Tiebreak is
deterministic; the Cython recursive traverser randomises ties using its
per-traverser RNG, which the batched policy does not have. Behaviour
matches the spirit of the recursive path (concentrate on best, do not
dilute uniformly).

Plumbed through BatchedPolicy, InterleavedTraversalConfig,
run_interleaved_traversal_batch, trainer.py, workers.py, and the
analyze_first_open_targets.py caller. Two unit tests added.

Also bumps default.yaml outcome_sampling_epsilon 0.2 -> 0.05. The
200-iter sweep in docs/plans/deep-cfr-selectivity.md section 1 showed
0.05 produced the best short-run safe_heuristic_strict score diff
(-40.01 vs -57.87 for 0.20). Recent experiments already used 0.05; the
default now matches actual experimental practice.

Neither change targets the diagnosed selection-bias bottleneck. They
align config intent with scheduler behaviour and make the default config
reproduce known-best knob settings out of the box.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-10 15:01:46 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 f63c4b8059 Strip heuristic input features and add selectivity diagnostics
Audit of the Deep CFR information-state encoding identified two tiers of
non-pure features and removed both:

- Tier 3 (judgment): is_bad_open_candidate, open_risk_score,
  is_safe_continuation. Same heuristic family used to label bad_open in
  evaluation, embedded as model input.
- Tier 2 (projection): recoverable_score_no_bonus,
  recoverable_margin_no_bonus, min_needed_to_break_even,
  cards_needed_for_bonus, has_bonus_path. Mechanical but assumption-laden
  ("commit and play all currently-playable cards"). The no_bonus form is
  asymmetric: it amplifies the immediate -20 penalty while truncating the
  +20 bonus upside, biasing the model toward the same "don't open" basin
  the diagnostics already flagged.

Input dim 365 -> 297. DERIVED_PLAYABILITY_PER_COLOR 19 -> 15;
SLOT_AWARE_PLAYABILITY_PER_SLOT 12 -> 6. Test shape assertions updated.

Also adds selectivity diagnostic infrastructure used to reach this point:
- traversal.outcome_unsampled_first_open_prior_alpha config field with
  signed-prior overlay on unsampled first-open advantage targets (A1).
- analyze_first_open_counterfactual.py --post-policy to swap the
  policy_player rollout policy and isolate selection bias (D1).
- analyze_first_open_followup.py to inspect post-forced-open behavior
  (E2): same-color play vs discard counts, other-open rate, terminal
  hand composition.

Findings recorded in docs/plans/deep-cfr-selectivity.md sections 3-6.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-10 14:26:16 +09:00
coolguy 7c3a3499dc Add first-open counterfactual audit 2026-05-09 17:06:06 +09:00
coolguy ba54032703 Add first-open target audit 2026-05-09 16:36:43 +09:00
coolguy b33a55c76d Align interleaved outcome targets and add open diagnostics 2026-05-08 17:25:27 +09:00
coolguy b5550d3840 Add current-vs-average eval diagnostic 2026-05-08 17:14:21 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 0f85fa85b3 Close librarian: full archive promote-survey + parallel dispatch
Second survey processed the remaining 12 archives via gemini after
the first batch of 3 was accepted. 12 drafts, 0 skips, 0 errors.
Every draft carries a deterministic Last-verified header
(2026-05-08, commit 5c221fb) thanks to the post-processing fix
landed in the previous commit. All 12 accepted into docs/research/
verbatim:

  deep-cfr-evaluation-profile-plan
  deep-cfr-legacy-experiment-reproduction
  deep-cfr-legacy-runtime-comparison
  deep-cfr-performance-experiments
  deep-cfr-profile-advantage-memory-split
  deep-cfr-profile
  deep-cfr-regret-fallback-audit
  deep-cfr-v0-gap-vs-coolrl
  deep-cfr-v0-plan
  fast-engine-next-optimizations
  post-a-optimization-calculus
  test-coverage-notes

docs/archive/ is now fully covered: every entry either has a
research counterpart by stem or by tail-match.

Also extracts _dispatch_one and adds --parallel N to
scripts/librarian_survey.py. ThreadPoolExecutor over the per-archive
work is safe because subprocess.run is network-bound (no GIL fight)
and each thread writes to its own output filename. Default stays
1 (sequential); --parallel 4 is the recommended speedup for large
surveys. The two surveys above ran sequentially; future runs can
opt in.

Plan declares librarian closed for new feature work. MEMORY drift
fixup and duplicate-merge modes stay deferred until a real input
surfaces. Stage 1 (5 deterministic checks) and Stage 2 (promote +
survey) remain operational.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-08 02:33:51 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 5c221fb3c6 Accept first survey batch + add commit-hash post-processing
Spot-check of the three drafts gemini produced in the --max 3
survey smoke test: all cited file paths exist, line numbers and
function names land within 1-2 lines of actual symbols
(game.pyx:217 cdef class GameState, evaluate.py:220 batched-entropy
block, trainer.py:892 _evaluate_parallel, action_distribution at
evaluate.py:238 with cited code at line 250 inside it). Numbers
cross-checked against archives match. Conclusions preserved.

The one systemic weakness was the Last-verified commit field:
gemini left a `<short-hash>` placeholder, a literal `HEAD`, or
omitted the commit entirely depending on the call. Fixed in two
places:

1. Manually patched the three drafts before acceptance and copied
   them into docs/research/.
2. Added _current_commit_sha and _post_process_draft helpers to
   both librarian_survey.py and librarian_promote.py. The drafts
   now go through `**Last verified:**` line normalization that
   substitutes today's date and `git rev-parse --short HEAD`
   before being written to disk. Future runs converge
   deterministically.

Net: docs/research/ gains classic-port-notes.md,
deep-cfr-batched-evaluation.md, and deep-cfr-evaluation-profile.md.
12 archive entries remain unprocessed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-08 01:52:08 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 b0b385591b Add librarian survey mode for batch promote-scan
scripts/librarian_survey.py walks docs/archive/*.md and dispatches
every entry without a research counterpart through the same prompt
assembly as librarian_promote.py. Outputs land under
runs/tmp/librarian-survey-<timestamp>/, classified into:
  <stem>.md            draft, ready to copy into docs/research/
  <stem>.SKIP.txt      LLM's one-line "not promotable" reason
  <stem>.ERROR.txt     CLI stderr if the call itself failed

Counterpart detection uses exact stem match plus a tail-match
heuristic so research notes that intentionally drop a domain prefix
still suppress their archive. Verified against the current tree:
docs/archive/deep-cfr-opponent-policy-network-divergence-* is
correctly recognized as already covered by
docs/research/opponent-policy-network-divergence.md.

--dry-run lists candidates and suggested research targets without
calling the LLM. --max N caps processed archives per run, useful as
a cost guard. Sequential dispatch; one LLM call per archive.

Plan updated to mark survey mode complete.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-08 01:18:28 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 f5ce49682e Close first librarian promote round-trip + add --accept flag
scripts/librarian_promote.py gains a --accept flag that copies the
generated draft to the suggested docs/research/ target in the same
invocation. This is explicit per-invocation opt-in, not auto-apply:
the operator types --accept knowingly, the cp is still a deliberate
acceptance decision, just expressed in one command instead of two.

docs/research/option-a-bench-result.md is the first promoted note,
generated by gemini from
docs/archive/option-a-bench-result-2026-05-07.md and accepted
verbatim. Spot-check verified that cited file:line locations match
current source (traversal.pyx:473-475 and
inference_server.py:226-228 carry the cited code), the Last-verified
header reflects today's date and HEAD, and the durable conclusion
(sync-blocking policy boundary as the structural ceiling, not IPC
plumbing) is preserved.

This closes the end-to-end loop the librarian was designed for:
oversize check surfaced docs/performance.md, the routing pass split
durable analysis into the archive entry, the promote dispatcher
turned the archive entry into a research draft, and the human
accept step landed it as a tracked research note. Took one LLM call.

Removes the now-resolved ignore-list entry for
docs/research/option-a-bench-result.md (the file exists; the
forward reference is real).

scripts/librarian.sh exits 0 against the working tree.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-08 00:31:59 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 8bbed31670 Add librarian Stage 2 v1: promote dispatcher
scripts/librarian_promote.py is the first Stage 2 piece: a
vendor-agnostic LLM dispatcher that drafts a docs/research/ note
from a given docs/archive/ entry. It assembles the prompt by
stitching scripts/librarian-prompt.md (system) onto the archive
body with a "draft a research note per the rules above" task
instruction, then shells out to the CLI selected by LIBRARIAN_LLM
({claude|codex|gemini}; default claude). The LLM's stdout is
captured to runs/tmp/librarian-promote-<timestamp>-draft.md for
human review — the script never writes into docs/research/ itself.

Refusal cases:
- path not under docs/archive/
- target docs/research/<stem>.md already exists (after stripping any
  -YYYY-MM-DD suffix)
- archive missing

If the LLM judges the archive non-promotable, it is instructed to
return a single SKIP: <reason> line instead of fabricating a draft.

--show-prompt prints the assembled prompt without invoking the LLM,
useful for inspecting what would be sent.

Plan updated: Stage 2 v1 marked complete; remaining Stage 2 work
(MEMORY drift fixup, duplicate-merge, survey mode) catalogued.
Next concrete step is a smoke test against one real archive entry.

Adds one ignore-list entry for docs/research/option-a-bench-result.md
which appears in the plan as a hypothetical accept target.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-08 00:05:38 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 6ecb233bdd Complete librarian Stage 1: stale plans + MEMORY drift
Adds the last two deterministic Stage 1 checks and wires them into
scripts/librarian.sh:

- librarian_check_stale_plans.py: per docs/plans/*.md, uses
  `git log -1 --format=%cs` to get the last commit date and flags
  plans untouched in 60+ days. Plans should be either active or
  archived; long silence is drift.
- librarian_check_memory_drift.py: validates the user-memory dir
  (~/.claude/projects/<slug>/memory). Each MEMORY.md index line
  must point at a real file with frontmatter (name, description,
  type ∈ {user, feedback, project, reference}); no orphaned memory
  files. Memory dir is derived from repo root for portability.

Both run clean against current state.

Stage 1 declared complete. Promotable-archive and duplicate-prose
detection are moved to Stage 2 in the plan because both need LLM
judgment to avoid false positives — not pattern matching.

Next concrete step is the open Stage 1 finding from yesterday:
docs/performance.md at 914 lines, due for a split into sub-topic
notes.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 23:44:25 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 5a1b944931 Add librarian Stage 1 oversize check
Third Stage 1 piece: scripts/librarian_check_oversize.py walks
non-archive markdown files and flags any over the 500-line soft cap
declared in AGENTS.md. Wired into scripts/librarian.sh.

Caught one real finding on first run: docs/performance.md at 914
lines. Splitting it into sub-topic notes is a separate cleanup task
— surfaced for the user, not auto-applied.

Updates docs/plans/librarian.md Progress + sets the next concrete
step to a stale-plan checker.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 23:31:37 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 7a3127de5d Add librarian Stage 1 orchestrator (scripts/librarian.sh)
Single entry point that runs every Stage 1 check in order and
aggregates exit codes — both checks always run so users see all
findings in one pass. Two checks wired up today (lychee link
integrity, file:line citations), more land incrementally as Stage 1
grows.

Removes scripts/librarian.sh from the ignore list now that the file
exists. Updates docs/plans/librarian.md Progress + Next Step.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 23:24:45 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 a899af4d7e Add librarian Stage 1 citation checker with ignore list
scripts/librarian_check_citations.py extracts file:line references from
inline-code spans across docs/**/*.md and verifies each path exists
(and, if cited with a line number, is within range). Skips
docs/archive/ and docs/plans/archive/ which are read-only by policy.

Caught one real drift in docs/research/optimization_sequencing.md: the
note pointed at docs/plans/amp_trainer.md, which had moved into
docs/plans/archive/.

scripts/librarian-ignore.txt holds fnmatch globs for citations that are
intentionally future-tense (planned files described in the plan docs
themselves). Used sparingly so the checker stays useful as a drift
signal.

Updates docs/plans/librarian.md Progress + Next Step. Next concrete
step is a thin scripts/librarian.sh orchestrator over both checkers.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 23:22:34 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 b9bbb4fcf7 Bootstrap librarian Stage 1 with lychee link checker
Captures the full librarian design (two-layer architecture, three-stage
pipeline, vendor-agnostic via LIBRARIAN_LLM env, propose-only / no
auto-apply) in docs/plans/librarian.md. Lands the first concrete Stage 1
piece: scripts/librarian_check_links.py, a lychee --offline wrapper
ported from ~/dev/coolrl/src/coolrl/dev/check_doc_links.py.

Also moves the librarian prompt from .claude/agents/ (Claude Code only)
to scripts/librarian-prompt.md so any CLI can load it as a system
prompt later. Fixes one stale README link the new checker caught:
docs/classic-port-notes.md → docs/archive/classic-port-notes.md.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 23:15:06 +09:00
coolguy 62b49c638e add julia safe heuristic benchmarks 2026-05-07 20:41:27 +09:00
coolguy 6c976f468a Wire AMP into Deep CFR trainer behind run.use_amp flag (default off)
Adds torch.autocast(fp16) + GradScaler around _train_advantage and
_train_strategy when run.use_amp=true and device=cuda. CPU/non-CUDA
falls back to fp32 no-op. Mitigations:
- scaler.unscale_(optimizer) before grad_clip.
- nonfinite-loss guard skips overflowing batches and counts them.
- diff.float().square() in advantage loss to avoid fp16 overflow.
- strategy mask/log_softmax kept in fp32.

New metrics: amp/grad_scale, amp/nonfinite_loss_count.

Tests: AMP CUDA smoke + CPU fallback in test_deep_cfr_trainer.py.

Bench: scripts/bench_amp_trainer.py micro-benches train phases under
synthetic replay memory. smoke.yaml result is fp32 3.22ms / AMP 3.92ms
(0.82×, regression). 100-iter A/B on default.yaml deliberately
skipped: smoke regression mirrors the 2026-05-07 torch.compile
regression dynamic (dispatch overhead > kernel benefit at this model
size) and re-confirming on the same size adds no information.

Default stays run.use_amp: false. Re-enable trigger documented in
docs/performance.md: hidden_size >= 1024 or num_layers >= 6, then run
the bench script + 100-iter A/B before flipping default.
2026-05-07 20:21:17 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 a7ab94e096 Add batched traversal inference server (Option A) behind opt-in flag
Implements the central inference server pattern: a dedicated GPU
process owns advantage/strategy/league networks, batches policy
requests across traversal workers via shared-memory tensor pool, and
returns logits. Workers route forward calls through InferenceClient /
NetworkProxy when traversal.inference_backend == "server".

Default remains traversal.inference_backend: local. The server
backend regresses iter time ~3.8× on the inspected default config
(small-model dispatch + sync-blocking traversal capping realized
batch at ~num_workers=8 instead of the bs=64-256 needed to amortize
IPC overhead). Keeping the implementation behind the flag lets us
re-enable when (a) model size grows, (b) per-worker interleaved
traversal lands, or (c) eval becomes dominant — see
docs/performance.md "Option A Bench Result and Structural Ceiling"
for the full diagnosis.

Plumbing included:
- inference_buffers.py: shared-memory tensor pool with slot
  management.
- inference_client.py: per-worker client + NetworkProxy adapter for
  the existing traversal.pyx call sites.
- inference_server.py: spawn-context server process with
  batch-window aggregation, weight sync, shutdown sentinel.
- bench_inference_backend.py: A/B between local and server backends
  with eval/checkpoint disabled.
- test_inference_server.py: round-trip and integration tests.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 20:05:16 +09:00
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7 4014e49168 Profile GPU forward to evaluate batched traversal inference
Measured DeepCFRMLP forward at bs={1,4,16,64,256,1024} on RTX 3090.
Per-state cost drops 232× from bs=1 (80 µs) to bs=256 (0.34 µs) while
per-call latency stays near 90 µs through bs=256. Policy-call supply
from a real run is ~368 states per traversal and ~200k per iteration,
well above the bs=64–256 plateau, so batched inference is not
supply-limited. GPU forward is not the limiter once batching exists.

Verdict: Optimization Priorities #5 (batched traversal inference) is
worth pursuing. End-to-end gain will still be bounded by encoding and
worker-GPU coordination overhead.

- scripts/profile_gpu_forward.py: standalone profiling script
- docs/performance.md: new "GPU forward profiling for batched traversal"
  experiment section with table, supply estimate, and verdict

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-07 18:35:28 +09:00
coolguy 12b59211b2 Python 포맷팅과 pre-commit 설정
맥락:
- Python 코드만 대상으로 Ruff 기반 format/lint와 pre-commit hook을 도입한다.
- Cython game.pyx는 Ruff 대상에서 제외해 포맷터 충돌을 피한다.

변경:
- ruff와 pre-commit dev dependency 및 Ruff 설정을 추가했다.
- pre-commit config와 Python format/check 스크립트를 추가했다.
- Ruff format/check --fix 결과로 Python import 정렬과 포맷을 적용했다.

확인:
- uv sync --extra gui
- uv run pre-commit run --all-files
- scripts/check-python.sh
- uv run lost-cities-classic
2026-05-06 19:59:07 +09:00