Three coordinated hygiene changes; none target the diagnosed
selection-bias bottleneck. They make the codebase honestly reflect the
pure-self-play stance and reduce dashboard noise.
Bot rename (drop the unhelpful safe_ prefix; suffixes describe behaviour):
- safe_heuristic_loose -> heuristic_aggressive
- safe_heuristic -> heuristic_balanced
- safe_heuristic_strict -> heuristic_cautious
- noisy_safe -> heuristic_noisy
- passive_discard -> discard_only
Class renames in bots/: SafeHeuristicBot -> HeuristicBot,
SafeHeuristicParams -> HeuristicParams, PassiveDiscardBot -> DiscardOnlyBot,
plus loose/strict parameter constants. Backwards compatibility was dropped
intentionally per user instruction; no aliases. Active configs, docs,
scripts, tests updated. Archive directories (configs/archive,
docs/archive, runs/archive) left intact and may still reference old
names per their read-only policy. The src/.../bots/passive.py module was
renamed to discard_only.py via git mv.
Analyze plot curation (deep_cfr/analyze.py):
- Added analysis_00_core.png as the canonical daily dashboard with 10
heuristic-free metrics (loss/{advantage,strategy}; vs heuristic_cautious:
avg_score_diff0, win_rate0, avg_opened_colors, positive_expedition_rate,
bonus_expedition_rate, score_per_opened_color, policy_entropy; vs random:
win_rate0).
- Removed analysis_05_open_quality.png (bad/weak/good open rates,
recoverable score) and analysis_07_calibration.png (calibration gap,
recoverable mean) - both relied on the heuristic recoverable_score
classifier already dropped from inputs.
- Removed SELECTIVITY_PLOTS and plot_selectivity (heuristic-laden).
- SUMMARY_EVAL_METRICS no longer includes bad_open_rate or
calibration_gap.
- PlotSpec gained an opponents allowlist so the new core section can pin
a specific opponent per panel without restructuring plot_section.
Tiered evaluation cadence (EvaluationConfig):
- Added extended_opponents and extended_eval_every (default 0 = disabled).
- opponents_for_iteration(iteration) returns the core list every
eval_every and appends extended_opponents (de-duplicated) when
iteration is also a multiple of extended_eval_every.
- default.yaml now uses 3 core opponents (random, discard_only,
heuristic_cautious) every 5 iterations and 3 extended opponents
(heuristic_balanced, heuristic_aggressive, heuristic_noisy) every 50
iterations. random is the floor sanity. discard_only is the
zero-pit detector / absolute-score reference (its score is always 0,
so eval/discard_only/avg_score_diff0 directly equals the model's raw
average score). heuristic_cautious is the ceiling and the
archive-comparable benchmark used in the prior diagnostic sections.
Net eval cost reduction: roughly 50% (3 opponents x every 5 iter, plus
6 opponents x every 50 iter, vs the prior 6 x every 5).
Documented in docs/plans/deep-cfr-selectivity.md section 9.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
6.4 KiB
Deep CFR Reproducibility
Last verified: 2026-05-08, commit 0f85fa8
Summary
Deep CFR training is deterministic for short single-worker checks, but the default multi-worker traversal path is not bitwise reproducible across repeated runs with the same seed.
The likely source is multiprocessing result ordering, not evaluation. With
traversal.num_workers=1, repeated runs matched exactly for core training and
evaluation metrics across iterations 1-3. With traversal.num_workers=1,
inserting evaluation every iteration did not change the training trajectory.
Evidence
Multi-worker runs diverged despite matching seed and config
Two 512x3 runs used the same resolved training config except for
run.experiment_name, run.max_iterations, and evaluation.eval_every:
runs/2026-05-08_022808_model-size-512x3runs/2026-05-08_051124_baseline-512x3-2000-dense-eval
They matched on iteration 1 traversal size and memory size, then diverged from iteration 2:
| Iteration | Metric | model-size-512x3 | baseline-512x3-2000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | traversal/nodes |
169976 | 169976 |
| 1 | memory/advantage |
84664 | 84664 |
| 2 | traversal/nodes |
157664 | 173489 |
| 2 | memory/advantage |
163292 | 171205 |
This divergence happens before either run reaches its first evaluation point in the 200-iteration model-size run, so evaluation frequency does not explain the initial split.
Single-worker repeated runs matched
Two temporary runs used:
traversal.num_workers=1run.max_iterations=3evaluation.eval_every=1evaluation.games=20evaluation.opponents=[random,heuristic_cautious]- W&B disabled
Runs:
runs/tmp/2026-05-08_152357_repro-single-worker-aruns/tmp/2026-05-08_152448_repro-single-worker-b
Core metrics matched exactly:
| Iteration | traversal/nodes |
memory/advantage |
loss/advantage |
eval/random/win_rate0 |
eval/heuristic_cautious/win_rate0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 170822 | 85096 | 803.9475702643394 | 0.75 | 0.10 |
| 2 | 206225 | 187987 | 821.3355012834072 | 0.50 | 0.05 |
| 3 | 142128 | 258823 | 1089.841465830803 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
Timing counters differed, as expected.
Evaluation did not perturb single-worker training
Two temporary runs compared eval disabled vs. eval every iteration:
runs/tmp/2026-05-08_152813_repro-single-worker-no-evalruns/tmp/2026-05-08_152852_repro-single-worker-with-eval
With traversal.num_workers=1, common non-timing, non-eval fields matched
exactly across iterations 1-3. Evaluation added eval metrics and wall-clock
cost, but did not change:
traversal/nodesmemory/advantagememory/strategysamples/advantagesamples/strategyloss/advantageloss/strategy
Likely Cause
The parallel traversal path processes worker results in completion order.
DeepCFRTrainer._run_traversals_parallel waits for FIRST_COMPLETED futures,
then immediately adds the completed batch's samples into reservoir memory
(src/coolrl_lost_cities/games/classic/deep_cfr/trainer.py:548).
Reservoir insertion is order-sensitive because each sample increments seen,
and capacity replacement draws from the trainer RNG
(src/coolrl_lost_cities/games/classic/deep_cfr/memory.py:26). Even before
capacity is reached, list order affects later sampled batches because memory
sampling draws indices from the same RNG
(src/coolrl_lost_cities/games/classic/deep_cfr/memory.py:57).
Therefore two runs can share the same seeds and configs but diverge if worker completion order differs due to OS scheduling, process timing, or device timing.
Implications
- Same seed does not guarantee bitwise reproducibility for default multi-worker Deep CFR training.
- Short deterministic checks should use
traversal.num_workers=1. - Multi-worker experiment comparisons should be interpreted as stochastic
repeated runs, even when
run.seedis identical. - Eval frequency is not currently implicated in training trajectory divergence, based on the single-worker eval/no-eval check above.
Proposed Fix
The current implementation target is stronger than same-worker-count stability:
worker count should be a performance setting, not an algorithm setting. On the
same code/config/seed and same GPU/CUDA stack, traversal.num_workers=1, 4,
and 8 should produce the same non-timing metrics.
Implement that by making the logical traversal stream independent of process scheduling:
- Assign a stable traversal ID to every traversal, such as
(iteration, player, traversal_index). - Derive all traversal-local RNG streams from that traversal ID and a purpose token, not from worker ID, batch ID, or completion order.
- Keep a canonical logical traversal list for each iteration.
num_workersshould only decide how that list is partitioned for execution. - Return samples and stats with their traversal IDs.
- Buffer completed futures for an iteration.
- Insert
advantage_samplesandstrategy_samplesinto memory in sorted traversal ID order. - Accumulate stats in the same sorted traversal ID order.
- Stabilize interleaved scheduler request/context ordering so ready queue and policy request processing do not depend on set/dict iteration or worker timing.
- Enable PyTorch deterministic settings for reproducibility/debug runs:
torch.use_deterministic_algorithms(True),torch.backends.cudnn.benchmark = False,torch.backends.cuda.matmul.allow_tf32 = False, andtorch.backends.cudnn.allow_tf32 = False. - Re-run the repeated-seed check across
traversal.num_workers=1,4, and8. - If differences remain, inspect remaining CPU-side ordering and PyTorch operator-level nondeterminism.
This is a larger change than sorting completed worker batches, but it is the right target if same GPU/CUDA runs should remain stable across different CPU machines and different worker counts.
Batch Size Scope
The deterministic target treats traversal and evaluation inference batch sizes as execution details:
traversal.interleave_max_batchevaluation.batch_size
Changing these should not change non-timing metrics once traversal IDs, request ordering, and result merge order are stable.
Training mini-batch sizes are different. Changing
optimization.advantage_batch_size or optimization.strategy_batch_size
changes the gradient estimate and optimizer trajectory, so those values remain
ordinary experimental variables. They are not expected to match across runs.