진단 가설/개입/측정 섹션은 docs/research/lost_cities_selectivity.md
에 verbatim으로 보존되어 있어 ideas.md 쪽 사본은 stale 위험 + 중복
유지 비용만 남는다. ideas.md는 brainstorm 인덱스로 축소하고, research/
의 세 thread를 단일 진입점으로 정리.
기존의 "All-negative fallback 가설 — 검증됨, 부분 풀림" 같은 stale
표현도 함께 사라진다 (research doc에선 여전히 open hypothesis로
다뤄지고 있음).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Captures the dependency graph between pending levers (model size,
Option B, AMP, compile, TensorRT, Option A re-enable, Julia port) and
the rule that infrastructure optimization precedes the model-size
experiment because every future training run benefits from the
infrastructure speedup, not just the one keystone experiment.
ideas.md gets a third Active Research Threads pointer.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
experiments/julia_cfr_toy/ ports a synthetic CFR external-sampling
traversal to both Julia and Cython for direct head-to-head
measurement of the actual project hot-path pattern (recursive
tree + mutable regret state + branch-heavy legal-action logic).
Headline result (2026-05-07, single run): Julia ~1.9× faster than
Cython on this pattern, 0 MB allocation, 0% GC time. Root regret
parity ε ≤ 1e-9. The GC-pause concern that was the main argument
against Julia adoption did not materialize. Cython's 21.3 MB
allocation suggests its implementation can be tightened, so the
honest gap window is roughly 1.3×–1.9×.
Multi-thread scaling (bench_cfr_threaded.jl): 2.44× wall-clock at 8T
but only 31% efficiency — inconclusive, likely a toy-size artifact
(per-thread workload too small to amortize dispatch). A heavier
per-thread workload sweep is the remaining decisive test.
docs/research/julia_port_evaluation.md captures this evidence
alongside the earlier safe-heuristic single-thread parity result
and lists the remaining decision criteria (multi-thread scaling with
heavier workload, Flux.jl+CUDA.jl coverage, real-game-state slice).
Do not commit to porting until multi-thread scaling is conclusively
settled.
ideas.md gets a second Active Research Threads pointer.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Mechanism-level analysis of the slot_aware_playability iter 240
plateau (opened_colors 4.95+, bad_open_rate 88-92%, calibration
gap 6-9 → 2-4). Captures four expert consultations with diagnostic
hypotheses, intervention catalog (architectural / training-dynamics
/ game-specific), measurement plan, and a comparison table across
the four sources.
Key new directions surfaced:
- Current vs average vs league policy separation (Deep CFR average
strategy is the convergence target, not advantage current).
- All-negative fallback as Deep CFR ablation lever.
- Empirical r̃ partitioning by action class.
- Tabular Lost Cities oracle as a clean test of "is 5-color the
game-theoretic answer or an approximation artifact".
- Entry-gate target defined from traversal counterfactual values
instead of heuristic labels.
ideas.md gets an "Active Research Threads" pointer.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
coolguyandClaude Opus 4.7